Get out or accept a Trump nomination

Washington Post came out with an article titled Is it time to concede that Donald Trump is likely to win the GOP nomination?

My initial reaction to this article was the same as Luke’s when he found out Darth Vader was his father.

But it makes a good point; so many candidates are dividing up the anti-Trump vote. According to the RealClearPolitics Poll Average, 63.9% of GOP pollsters do not favor Trump.

At this same point in time in 2011, there were 8 total and 3 top candidates: Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, and Mitt Romney.

Today, we have 14 total candidates and 5 candidates who have above-average performance in the polls: Donald Trump, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, and Jeb Bush.

Rick Santorum, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, and Bobby Jindal need to get out; combined they only have 1.6% polling average. That leaves us with 10 candidates, but doesn’t really make any of the others pull out ahead of Trump.

The Republicans also need 2 or more of the following to go: Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, and John Kasich.

This needs to happen by my birthday, November 30.

Note: My summer prediction was that the Republican nominee would be one of the following: Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, and Carly Fiorina. I’m holding by that for now, as I hope Fiorina can gain traction, but I may need to take her off the list.

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